Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.401800 0.467674 0.540573 0.627178 0.727217 0.839106 0.973711
2025-03-09 0.290168 0.377385 0.484578 0.625781 0.806685 1.030488 1.328244
2025-03-16 0.222117 0.312812 0.432957 0.603298 0.838135 1.150042 1.595377
2025-03-23 0.196676 0.295373 0.434259 0.643146 0.948517 1.377714 2.025872
2025-03-30 0.162472 0.258284 0.400492 0.625786 0.972535 1.484611 2.296715
2025-04-06 0.135503 0.226768 0.368893 0.604834 0.985118 1.572121 2.544605
2025-04-13 0.114592 0.201055 0.341776 0.585614 0.995553 1.654370 2.790061
2025-04-20 0.102233 0.187324 0.331526 0.591379 1.045377 1.802272 3.154987
2025-04-27 0.096049 0.183172 0.336412 0.622672 1.140748 2.033946 3.683732
2025-05-04 0.088732 0.175799 0.334463 0.641175 1.215151 2.236682 4.183228
2025-05-11 0.080776 0.166014 0.326718 0.647731 1.268002 2.405926 4.639629
2025-05-18 0.072667 0.154725 0.314589 0.644160 1.300835 2.541082 5.045850
2025-05-25 0.064899 0.143246 0.301037 0.636904 1.327239 2.669891 5.460309
2025-06-01 0.058739 0.134281 0.291432 0.636512 1.367516 2.830310 5.955984
2025-06-08 0.051339 0.121522 0.272287 0.613693 1.358789 2.892190 6.259485
2025-06-15 0.050129 0.122417 0.282229 0.654210 1.487895 3.246995 7.204922
2025-06-22 0.044512 0.112298 0.266709 0.636560 1.488688 3.333911 7.591505
2025-06-29 0.039336 0.102460 0.250529 0.615257 1.478548 3.395763 7.929272
2025-07-06 0.034906 0.093795 0.235932 0.595715 1.469895 3.459431 8.277020
2025-07-13 0.032484 0.089876 0.232151 0.601577 1.521416 3.663241 8.965634
2025-07-20 0.031698 0.090121 0.238603 0.633394 1.638974 4.030581 10.073983
2025-07-27 0.030253 0.088386 0.239852 0.652206 1.726559 4.336150 11.066110
2025-08-03 0.028332 0.085057 0.236567 0.658872 1.784215 4.575532 11.921299